This Tuesday, we get a great derby in the Bundesliga, that has all the elements of a final, as Dortmund desperately need a win to be able to keep in contention of first place.
The last time these two teams met in the Bundesliga, Bayern took a fast 1-0 lead in the first half and then cruised their way through a 4-0 victory. Unfortunately for Bayern, this time they will find Erling Haaland on the other side of the pitch, and he is averaging one goal per game in the Bundesliga at the moment.
It is safe to say that this time around, Dortmund won’t let a 4-0 scoreline get into their heads, as they have all the motivation to change the prior outcome. Dortmund has normally scored and received one goal during their home matches this season, but have an incredible 3 goal advantage per game over opponents when playing at home.
Dortmund has received 10 goals during 13 games at home this season, and Bayern have only been able to keep a clean sheet during 5 out of 13 matches while away. When looking back at Dortmund’s home games versus Bayern during the past couple of years, we need to go back until November 2017 to find the last time that Dortmund lost against Bayern at home.
Borussia Dortmund has scored at home against Bayern at least twice in every game after that November 2017 loss and with the 3.46 goals scored at home per game this season, the prices on Dortmund’s goals are pretty atractive for this match.
The Tip of the Day is: Borussia Dortmund to score over 1.5 goals at 2.10
The additional tip for this game is Borussia Dortmund to score in the first half at 1.90
Borussia’s first goal during their home matches has come at an average of the 27th minute, while Bayern have admitted their first goal when playing away at around the 46th minute. While Haaland has been playing for Dortmund, he has played in 3 Bundesliga home matches and the team has scored in the first half of all of them.
If you want to play a safer tip for the Dortmund goal, there is also the option to place: Dortmund to score before the 48th minute of play at 1.83.
Remember to keep having fun, and when it’s not fun, stop betting.
@stmachinee
