The San Francisco Giants and Milwaukee Brewers face off once again on Sunday at a day game. Tyler Beede will be pitching for the Giants, while Jhoulys Chacin will be doing the honors for the Brewers.
Beede comes into the game with a 3.38 ERA on day games and a 5.85 ERA on the road, while Chacin comes with a 9.28 ERA on day games and a 4.25 ERA on home games.
If we take a look at the first five innings of play, Beede has an ERA of 6.18, while Chacin has an ERA of 5.54.
For this pick, I am taking the day games factor into account, where Chacin has allowed basically one run per inning, and his per month ERA has consistently been over 5.00. His last outing this July, has him on 3.00 ERA for the month, so that number will tend to rise back to his normal over 5.00 on the season.
Best Value Pick: San Francisco Giants to win first five innings at +131
Although Chacin has a better ERA on the first five innings than Beede, his disastrous 9.28 ERA on day games is not a stat that I am looking to back.
Bonus Pick: Over 5.5 runs in the first five innings at -106
Both Beede and Chacin have an ERA over 5.5 on their first five innings, so I am picking both teams to score heavy and make this over.
Bonus Pick 2: Over 9.5 runs at -114
This is a great odd for an over 9.5 runs on the game, as both pitchers sum up over 11.72 on their first five innings. It is simply an odd not to pass up and lets hope to cash in by the end of the game.
