For Thursday Night Football’s game, we have the Cowboys visiting the Bears at Soldier Field, in the midst of a lot of heat against Jason Garrett and his coaching staff.
The Cowboys have failed to score a lot of points in their last two games, and now face a historically stingy Bears defense.
The Bears have only allowed more than 42 points against the Saints, one of few offenses in the NFL that are similar to the Cowboys. An offense that depends on good quarterback play, a stout runner, and crafty wide receivers.
The games at Soldier Field for the Cowboys and the Bears have historically yielded a lot of points, with only one game being under 43 points in the last 19 years.
The Cowboys will have rested for a whole week, something that affected their play last Thursday, after effectively having just three and a half days rest. I expect them to be firing on most cylinders, if not all, for this Thursday Night game.
Pick: Over 42.5 points at 1.75
Twitter Tuesday Pick: Over 45.5 points at 2.20
On Tuesday, I sent out a tweet trying to warn about the probability of odds worsening for the over in this game. Since Tuesday, the Cowboys Total Team over has gone up from 21.5 to 23.5 points. The game’s total has gone up from 42.5 points to 43.5 points.
Even the Cowboys spread has moved from -2.5 to a -3.0 margin.
Extra Value Pick: Cowboys -3.0 at 1.90
